HOU @ LAL — Easy Money

HOU Houston Rockets

Coach Ime Udoka

TO Left 3

FINAL

2026-04-30

Polymarket History ↗ NBA Game Charts ↗

Total Volume —

93 LAL Los Angeles Lakers

Coach JJ Redick

TO Left 0

Referees Crew Chief Mitchell Ervin #27 Referee Marat Kogut #32 Umpire Pat Fraher #26 Alternate Tony Brothers #25

Referee sync: not started

Polymarket · T−1H → Final +15m

Debug —

HOU WIN — · LAL WIN —

Single Reversal Conf. 75% Leads 1 Swings 1

Final loser peaked at 72% win probability.

View all Single Reversal →

Rotation Matchup Table Manual Corrections

Loading matchup data…

Rotation Efficiency HOU vs LAL

Matchup tables have not been generated for this game yet.
Click AI Generate Matchup Tables to compute stint-level SvS / SvB / BvB tables.

Turnover Damage Analysis

Tracks how many opponent points were created after each player's turnovers.

HOU

Player

TO → Pts

Pts Allowed

Avg / TO

▶ Alperen Sengun #28

1.2

▶ Amen Thompson #1

1.0

▶ Reed Sheppard #15

2.0

▶ Dorian Finney-Smith #2

2.0

▶ Team

0.0

LAL

Player

TO → Pts

Pts Allowed

Avg / TO

▶ Marcus Smart #36

1.83

Q	Clock	Turnover	Opponent Result	Pts	Stop Reason
Q1	8:17	Marcus Smart out of bounds bad pass turnover	Opponent turnover	0	opponent turnover
Q2	5:00	Marcus Smart bad pass turnover (Josh Okogie steals)	Josh Okogie makes 26-foot three point jumper (Reed Sheppard assists)	3	opponent score
Q2	1:27	Marcus Smart bad pass turnover (Reed Sheppard steals)	Tari Eason makes two point shot (Josh Okogie assists)	2	opponent score
Q3	3:11	Marcus Smart bad pass turnover (Alperen Sengun steals)	Aaron Holiday makes 24-foot three point jumper (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)	3	opponent score
Q3	2:38	Marcus Smart traveling turnover	Alperen Sengun makes free throw 1 of 2	1	opponent score
Q4	6:14	Marcus Smart out of bounds lost ball turnover	Alperen Sengun makes 13-foot two point shot (Reed Sheppard assists)	2	opponent score

▶ LeBron James #23

2.0

▶ Austin Reaves #15

0.67

▶ Luke Kennard #10

0.0

▶ Jaxson Hayes #11

0.0

▶ Rui Hachimura #28

0.0

▶ Deandre Ayton #5

0.0

Grade B accuracy (~80%) — heuristic next-possession estimate from ESPN play sequence. Free throw sequences and back-to-back turnovers may be slightly mis-attributed.

AI Starter Impact Analysis

AI-generated starter-level signals based on current box score and recent player history.

Debug

AI analysis is based on available box score history and current game data. It is directional, not a betting guarantee.

Click Generate Analysis to analyze starter histories for this game.

Player Box Scores

HOU

Player	Pos	Min	PTS	ORB	DRB	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	PF	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
STARTERS
Jabari Smith Jr. #10 ●	C	42:11	22	2	5	7	3	0	2	0	2	6/13	4/9	6/8	+5
Tari Eason #17 ●	PF	31:12	18	1	4	5	1	0	1	0	5	6/11	2/6	4/5	-3
Amen Thompson #1 ●	PG	45:40	15	2	5	7	4	4	0	3	2	4/14	2/5	5/8	+5
Alperen Sengun #28 ●	C	43:24	14	1	8	9	8	2	1	5	3	5/9	0/0	4/4	+8
Reed Sheppard #15 ●	SG	35:05	12	0	0	0	6	3	0	1	3	5/12	2/7	0/0	+2
BENCH
Josh Okogie #20	SF	18:19	7	0	3	3	2	1	0	0	3	3/6	1/4	0/0	+3
Dorian Finney-Smith #2	C	11:20	6	0	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	2/5	2/5	0/0	+6
Aaron Holiday #0	SG	12:49	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	2/5	1/4	0/0	+4
TOTALS	—	—	99	6	28	34	25	10	4	10	22	33/7544%	14/4035%	19/2576%	—
INACTIVE / OUT
Kevin Durant #7	SF	0:00	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Jeff Green #32	C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Steven Adams #12	C	0:00	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Clint Capela #30	C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Fred VanVleet #5	PG	0:00	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Jae'Sean Tate #8	PF	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
JD Davison #4	PG	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0

LAL

Player	Pos	Min	PTS	ORB	DRB	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	PF	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
STARTERS
LeBron James #23 ●	PF	39:25	25	0	3	3	7	2	0	2	1	9/20	0/6	7/10	-5
Deandre Ayton #5 ●	C	38:11	18	10	7	17	0	0	2	1	3	9/14	0/0	0/0	+2
Rui Hachimura #28 ●	PF	36:38	12	1	3	4	0	1	0	1	4	5/11	2/3	0/0	+5
Marcus Smart #36 ●	SF	36:43	11	0	5	5	2	0	0	6	2	3/7	3/7	2/2	-7
Luke Kennard #10 ●	SF	31:11	1	0	3	3	2	2	1	1	2	0/4	0/2	1/2	-3
BENCH
Austin Reaves #15	SG	33:42	22	0	4	4	6	0	1	3	3	4/16	2/8	12/13	-5
Jarred Vanderbilt #2	PF	5:37	2	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1/3	0/1	0/0	-8
Jake LaRavia #12	PF	8:44	2	1	1	2	1	0	1	0	2	1/1	0/0	0/0	-1
Jaxson Hayes #11	C	9:49	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	2	0/0	0/0	0/0	-8
TOTALS	—	—	93	13	28	41	19	5	5	15	20	32/7642%	7/2725%	22/2781%	—
INACTIVE / OUT
Maxi Kleber #14	C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Luka Dončić #77	PG	0:00	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Nick Smith Jr. #20	PG	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Dalton Knecht #4	SF	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Bronny James #9	SG	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0
Adou Thiero #1	SG	—	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0

Debug

Quarter-by-Quarter

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	21	30	25	23	99
LAL	28	19	20	26	93

Team Stats

HOU LAL

Points

Off REB

Def REB

Rebounds

Assists

Steals

Blocks

44.0

FG%

42.1

35.0

3PT%

25.9

33/75

32/76

14/40

3PT

7/27

19/25

22/27

Analysis — Starters vs Bench

Q1 21–28 21–28 HOU –7

Q2 30–19 51–47 LAL –4

Q3 25–20 76–67 LAL –9

Q4 23–26 99–93 LAL –6

HOU

Starters 5 players

81 PTS

28 REB

22 AST

44.1% FG%

37.0% 3PT%

+17 +/-

Jabari Smith Jr. 22p 7r 3a Tari Eason 18p 5r 1a Amen Thompson 15p 7r 4a

Bench 3 players

18 PTS

6 REB

3 AST

43.8% FG%

30.8% 3PT%

+13 +/-

Josh Okogie 7p 3r 2a Dorian Finney-Smith 6p 3r 1a Aaron Holiday 5p 0r 0a

LAL

Starters 5 players

67 PTS

32 REB

11 AST

46.4% FG%

27.8% 3PT%

-8 +/-

LeBron James 25p 3r 7a Deandre Ayton 18p 17r 0a Rui Hachimura 12p 4r 0a

Bench 4 players

26 PTS

9 REB

8 AST

30.0% FG%

22.2% 3PT%

-22 +/-

Austin Reaves 22p 4r 6a Jarred Vanderbilt 2p 2r 0a Jake LaRavia 2p 2r 1a

Rotation Analysis

Rotation Analysis Leading · Close · Trailing 48 min

HOU Playoff

Leading Q3 · Q4

Starters 5 players

41PTS 39.3%FG 41.7%3P 18REB 4TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT	TO
Smith Jr.	42	12	5	5	3/5	2/4	4/6	0
Sengun	43	8	6	6	2/4	0/0	4/4	2
Eason	31	8	2	2	2/4	1/2	3/4	0
Sheppard	35	7	0	0	3/6	1/3	0/0	0
Thompson	45	6	5	5	1/9	1/3	3/4	2

Bench 3 players

7PTS 33.3%FG 14.3%3P 1REB 0TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT
Holiday	12	5	0	0	2/3	1/2	0/0
Okogie	18	2	1	1	1/4	0/3	0/0
Finney-Smith	11	0	0	0	0/2	0/2	0/0

Close Game Q1 · Q3

Starters 5 players

37PTS 41.9%FG 33.3%3P 16REB 7TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT	TO
Smith Jr.	42	13	3	3	4/8	2/6	3/4	0
Eason	31	10	2	2	4/5	1/2	1/1	0
Sengun	43	8	6	6	3/5	0/0	2/2	3
Thompson	45	3	5	5	1/8	1/3	0/2	3
Sheppard	35	3	0	0	1/5	1/4	0/0	1

Bench 3 players

9PTS 44.4%FG 16.7%3P 2REB 1TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT	TO
Holiday	12	5	0	0	2/4	1/3	0/0	0
Okogie	18	4	2	2	2/4	0/2	0/0	0
Finney-Smith	11	0	0	0	0/1	0/1	0/0	1

Trailing Q2

Starters 5 players

21PTS 53.3%FG 42.9%3P 4REB 1TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT	TO
Thompson	45	6	0	0	2/2	0/0	2/2	0
Eason	31	5	1	1	2/4	1/3	0/0	0
Sheppard	35	5	0	0	2/3	1/2	0/0	0
Smith Jr.	42	3	2	2	1/4	1/2	0/0	0
Sengun	43	2	1	1	1/2	0/0	0/0	1

Bench 3 players

9PTS 60.0%FG 60.0%3P 4REB 0TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT
Finney-Smith	11	6	3	3	2/3	2/3	0/0
Okogie	18	3	1	1	1/1	1/1	0/0
Holiday	12	0	0	0	0/1	0/1	0/0

LAL Playoff

Leading Q2

Starters 5 players

14PTS 41.7%FG 40.0%3P 5REB 4TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT	TO
Hachimura	36	5	3	3	2/3	1/1	0/0	1
James	39	4	1	1	1/3	0/1	2/2	1
Smart	36	3	0	0	1/2	1/2	0/0	2
Ayton	38	2	1	1	1/2	0/0	0/0	0
Kennard	31	0	0	0	0/2	0/1	0/0	0

Bench 3 players

5PTS 33.3%FG 50.0%3P 5REB 1TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT	TO
Reaves	33	3	2	2	1/3	1/1	0/0	1
Vanderbilt	5	2	2	2	1/3	0/1	0/0	0
Hayes	9	0	1	1	0/0	0/0	0/0	0

Close Game Q1 · Q3

Starters 5 players

33PTS 43.3%FG 25.0%3P 15REB 5TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT	TO
James	39	10	0	0	4/9	0/2	2/4	0
Ayton	38	10	10	10	5/9	0/0	0/0	1
Smart	36	8	2	2	2/4	2/4	2/2	3
Hachimura	36	4	0	0	2/6	0/1	0/0	0
Kennard	31	1	3	3	0/2	0/1	1/2	1

Bench 3 players

15PTS 50.0%FG 50.0%3P 3REB 3TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT	TO
Reaves	33	13	1	1	2/5	1/2	8/9	2
LaRavia	8	2	2	2	1/1	0/0	0/0	0
Hayes	9	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	1

Trailing Q3 · Q4

Starters 5 players

33PTS 52.0%FG 14.3%3P 17REB 5TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT	TO
James	39	17	2	2	6/12	0/3	5/8	1
Ayton	38	10	10	10	5/5	0/0	0/0	1
Hachimura	36	5	1	1	2/4	1/1	0/0	0
Kennard	31	1	0	0	0/1	0/0	1/2	0
Smart	36	0	4	4	0/3	0/3	0/0	3

Bench 3 players

13PTS 18.2%FG 0.0%3P 3REB 1TO

Player	MIN	PTS	DRB	REB	FG	3P	FT	TO
Reaves	33	11	2	2	1/10	0/5	9/10	1
LaRavia	8	2	1	1	1/1	0/0	0/0	0
Hayes	9	0	0	0	0/0	0/0	0/0	0