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ET --:-- -- · CST --:-- --
DEN Denver Nuggets
Coach David Adelman
TO Left 0
98
FINAL
2026-05-01
Polymarket History ↗ NBA Game Charts ↗
Total Volume —
110 MIN Minnesota Timberwolves
Coach Chris Finch
TO Left 0
Referees Crew Chief JB DeRosa #14 Referee Courtney Kirkland #61 Umpire Brian Forte #45 Alternate Josh Tiven #58
Referee sync: not started
Polymarket · T−1H → Final +15m
Debug —
DEN WIN — · MIN WIN —
Single Reversal Conf. 85% Leads 1 Swings 1
Final loser peaked at 78% win probability.
View all Single Reversal →
Rotation Matchup Table Manual Corrections

Loading matchup data…

Rotation Efficiency DEN vs MIN

Matchup tables have not been generated for this game yet.
Click AI Generate Matchup Tables to compute stint-level SvS / SvB / BvB tables.

Turnover Damage Analysis

Tracks how many opponent points were created after each player's turnovers.

DEN

Player TO TO → Pts Pts Allowed Avg / TO
▶ Nikola Jokic #15 4 3 5 1.25
▶ Cameron Johnson #23 2 2 4 2.0
▶ Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 1 1 2 2.0
▶ Christian Braun #0 1 1 2 2.0
▶ Bruce Brown #11 3 1 1 0.33
▶ Jonas Valanciunas #17 1 0 0 0.0
▶ Spencer Jones #21 1 0 0 0.0

MIN

Player TO TO → Pts Pts Allowed Avg / TO
▶ Naz Reid #11 2 2 4 2.0
▶ Mike Conley #10 1 1 3 3.0
▶ Team 1 1 2 2.0
▶ Julius Randle #30 4 0 0 0.0

Grade B accuracy (~80%) — heuristic next-possession estimate from ESPN play sequence. Free throw sequences and back-to-back turnovers may be slightly mis-attributed.

AI Starter Impact Analysis

AI-generated starter-level signals based on current box score and recent player history.

Debug

AI analysis is based on available box score history and current game data. It is directional, not a betting guarantee.

Click Generate Analysis to analyze starter histories for this game.

Player Box Scores

DEN

Player Pos Min PTS ORB DRB REB AST STL BLK TO PF FG 3PT FT +/-
STARTERS
Nikola Jokić #15 ● C 43:24 28 1 8 9 10 0 1 4 5 11/19 1/5 5/6 -9
Cameron Johnson #23 ● PF 39:14 27 0 8 8 3 0 1 2 5 8/15 5/10 6/9 -3
Jamal Murray #27 ● PG 40:18 12 1 5 6 4 0 1 0 2 4/17 0/2 4/4 -18
Spencer Jones #21 ● PF 35:17 8 0 2 2 1 0 1 1 5 3/4 2/3 0/0 -9
Christian Braun #0 ● SG 27:35 3 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 2 1/4 1/4 0/0 -9
BENCH
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 PF 20:59 13 2 2 4 2 1 1 1 1 4/7 1/2 4/4 -5
Tyus Jones #5 PG 12:26 4 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 2 2/4 0/0 0/0 +5
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 C 3:43 2 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 1/3 0/0 0/0 -2
Bruce Brown #11 SF 14:22 1 1 0 1 1 2 0 3 3 0/2 0/1 1/2 -5
Zeke Nnaji #22 C 2:43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 -5
TOTALS — — 98 6 27 33 24 4 8 13 26 34/7545% 10/2737% 20/2580% —
INACTIVE / OUT
Aaron Gordon #32 SF 0:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Jalen Pickett #24 SG — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Julian Strawther #3 SF — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Peyton Watson #8 PF 0:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
DaRon Holmes II #14 C — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0

MIN

Player Pos Min PTS ORB DRB REB AST STL BLK TO PF FG 3PT FT +/-
STARTERS
Jaden McDaniels #3 ● SF 44:54 32 4 6 10 3 2 1 0 4 13/25 1/4 5/6 +16
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 ● SF 34:42 24 2 4 6 1 2 0 0 2 9/20 1/7 5/5 +7
Julius Randle #30 ● PF 37:27 18 2 2 4 5 1 0 4 2 6/17 2/5 4/6 +15
Rudy Gobert #27 ● C 41:46 10 7 6 13 8 1 2 0 5 4/6 0/0 2/4 +11
Mike Conley #10 ● PG 26:29 7 1 5 6 3 1 0 1 3 3/7 1/4 0/0 -1
BENCH
Naz Reid #11 C 33:47 15 1 6 7 4 1 0 2 2 7/13 1/3 0/1 +11
Jaylen Clark #22 SF 12:10 3 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 2 1/3 1/3 0/0 -3
Bones Hyland #8 SG 8:44 1 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0/3 0/3 1/2 +4
TOTALS — — 110 19 31 50 26 8 3 7 21 43/9445% 7/2924% 17/2470% —
INACTIVE / OUT
Kyle Anderson #12 C 0:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Joe Ingles #7 PF — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Donte DiVincenzo #0 PG 0:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Anthony Edwards #5 SG 0:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Ayo Dosunmu #13 SF — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Julian Phillips #4 PF — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Joan Beringer #19 C — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Debug
Quarter-by-Quarter
Team Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total
DEN 30 20 24 24 98
MIN 29 28 25 28 110
Team Stats
DEN MIN
98
Points
110
6
Off REB
19
27
Def REB
31
33
Rebounds
50
24
Assists
26
4
Steals
8
8
Blocks
3
45.3
FG%
45.7
37.0
3PT%
24.1
34/75
FG
43/94
10/27
3PT
7/29
20/25
FT
17/24
Analysis — Starters vs Bench
Q1 30–29 30–29 MIN –1
Q2 20–28 50–57 DEN –7
Q3 24–25 74–82 DEN –8
Q4 24–28 98–110 DEN –12

DEN

Starters 5 players
78 PTS
26 REB
18 AST
45.8% FG%
37.5% 3PT%
-48 +/-
Nikola Jokić 28p 9r 10a Cameron Johnson 27p 8r 3a Jamal Murray 12p 6r 4a
Bench 5 players
20 PTS
7 REB
6 AST
43.8% FG%
33.3% 3PT%
-12 +/-
Tim Hardaway Jr. 13p 4r 2a Tyus Jones 4p 0r 3a Jonas Valančiūnas 2p 2r 0a

MIN

Starters 5 players
91 PTS
39 REB
20 AST
46.7% FG%
25.0% 3PT%
+48 +/-
Jaden McDaniels 32p 10r 3a Terrence Shannon Jr. 24p 6r 1a Julius Randle 18p 4r 5a
Bench 3 players
19 PTS
11 REB
6 AST
42.1% FG%
22.2% 3PT%
+12 +/-
Naz Reid 15p 7r 4a Jaylen Clark 3p 2r 1a Bones Hyland 1p 2r 1a
Rotation Analysis

Rotation Analysis Leading · Close · Trailing 48 min

DEN Playoff

Leading Q2
Starters 5 players
14PTS 33.3%FG 60.0%3P 7REB 1TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
Jokić 43 5 0 1 1 2/6 1/2 0/0 0
Johnson 39 4 0 2 2 1/1 1/1 1/2 0
Jones 35 3 0 1 1 1/1 1/1 0/0 1
Murray 40 2 0 3 3 1/7 0/1 0/0 0
Braun 27 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Bench 5 players
6PTS 37.5%FG 0.0%3P 3REB 3TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
Valančiūnas 3 2 0 2 2 1/3 0/0 0/0 1
Hardaway Jr. 20 2 0 0 0 1/2 0/1 0/0 1
Jones 12 2 0 0 0 1/2 0/0 0/0 0
Brown 14 0 0 1 1 0/1 0/0 0/0 1
Nnaji 2 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Close Game Q1 · Q2
Starters 5 players
36PTS 46.7%FG 45.5%3P 15REB 5TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
Johnson 39 15 0 7 7 5/5 2/2 3/5 1
Jokić 43 9 0 3 3 4/9 1/3 0/0 3
Murray 40 6 0 3 3 3/11 0/1 0/0 0
Braun 27 3 0 1 1 1/4 1/4 0/0 0
Jones 35 3 0 1 1 1/1 1/1 0/0 1
Bench 5 players
14PTS 45.5%FG 33.3%3P 3REB 4TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
Hardaway Jr. 20 10 0 0 0 3/4 1/2 3/3 1
Valančiūnas 3 2 0 2 2 1/3 0/0 0/0 1
Jones 12 2 0 0 0 1/2 0/0 0/0 0
Brown 14 0 0 1 1 0/2 0/1 0/0 2
Nnaji 2 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
Trailing Q3 · Q4
Starters 5 players
42PTS 44.8%FG 30.8%3P 11REB 3TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
Jokić 43 19 0 6 6 7/10 0/2 5/6 1
Johnson 39 12 0 1 1 3/10 3/8 3/4 1
Murray 40 6 0 3 3 1/6 0/1 4/4 0
Jones 35 5 0 1 1 2/3 1/2 0/0 0
Braun 27 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1
Bench 3 players
6PTS 40.0%FG 0%3P 4REB 1TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
Hardaway Jr. 20 3 0 4 4 1/3 0/0 1/1 0
Jones 12 2 0 0 0 1/2 0/0 0/0 0
Brown 14 1 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 1/2 1

MIN Playoff

Leading Q3 · Q4
Starters 5 players
46PTS 50.0%FG 22.2%3P 19REB 3TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
McDaniels 44 19 0 5 5 8/15 0/2 3/4 0
Shannon Jr. 34 12 0 2 2 5/9 1/4 1/1 0
Gobert 41 6 0 8 8 2/4 0/0 2/4 0
Randle 37 6 0 1 1 2/5 0/1 2/4 2
Conley 26 3 0 3 3 1/3 1/2 0/0 1
Bench 3 players
7PTS 33.3%FG 20.0%3P 6REB 0TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
Reid 33 7 0 3 3 3/6 1/2 0/0 0
Hyland 8 0 0 1 1 0/2 0/2 0/0 0
Clark 12 0 0 2 2 0/1 0/1 0/0 0
Close Game Q1 · Q2
Starters 5 players
45PTS 43.6%FG 27.3%3P 20REB 2TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
McDaniels 44 13 0 5 5 5/10 1/2 2/2 0
Randle 37 12 0 3 3 4/12 2/4 2/2 2
Shannon Jr. 34 12 0 4 4 4/11 0/3 4/4 0
Conley 26 4 0 3 3 2/4 0/2 0/0 0
Gobert 41 4 0 5 5 2/2 0/0 0/0 0
Bench 3 players
12PTS 50.0%FG 25.0%3P 5REB 2TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
Reid 33 8 0 4 4 4/7 0/1 0/1 2
Clark 12 3 0 0 0 1/2 1/2 0/0 0
Hyland 8 1 0 1 1 0/1 0/1 1/2 0
Trailing Q2
Starters 5 players
21PTS 42.1%FG 16.7%3P 11REB 2TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
McDaniels 44 8 0 3 3 3/6 0/1 2/2 0
Randle 37 5 0 2 2 1/6 1/3 2/2 2
Shannon Jr. 34 4 0 2 2 2/4 0/1 0/0 0
Conley 26 2 0 1 1 1/2 0/1 0/0 0
Gobert 41 2 0 3 3 1/1 0/0 0/0 0
Bench 3 players
7PTS 42.9%FG 33.3%3P 4REB 0TO
Player MIN PTS ORB DRB REB FG 3P FT TO
Reid 33 4 0 4 4 2/5 0/1 0/0 0
Clark 12 3 0 0 0 1/2 1/2 0/0 0
Hyland 8 0 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0
PBP JSON Debug FINAL click to expand
Loading PBP debug data…